An Expansion Analysis of Risk Level of Viet Nam Construction Material Industry under Financial Leverage during and after the Global Crisis 2007-2009
After the financial crisis 2007-2009, this paper evaluates the impacts of external financing on market risk for the listed firms in the Viet nam construction material industry. First, by using quantitative and analytical methods to estimate asset and equity beta of total 57 listed companies in Viet Nam construction material industry with a proper traditional model, we found out that the beta values, in general, for many institutions are acceptable. Second, under 3 different scenarios of changing leverage (in 2011 financial reports, 30% up and 20% down), we recognized that the risk level, measured by equity and asset beta mean, decreases (0,259) when leverage increases to 30% and it increases (0,544) if leverage decreases down to 20%. Third, by changing leverage in 3 scenarios, we recognized the dispersion of risk level, measured by equity beta var, increases if the leverage increases to 30%. And the asset beta var value is quite small, showing leverage efficiency. Finally, this paper provides some outcomes that could provide companies and government more evidence in establishing their policies in governance.
Nguyen Thi Thanh Phuong
Thuongmai University, Hanoi, Vietnam
Dinh Tran Ngoc Huy
Banking University, HCMC – GSIM, International University of Japan, Japan
Le Ngoc Nuong
Faculty of Management – Economic Law, University of Economics and Business Administration (TUEBA), Vietnam.
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